Thinking in Scenarios Improves Forecasts

By Peter Joos – in INSEAD Knowledge.

Making accurate predictions based on historical precedent is flawed, but thinking in scenarios reduces uncertainty.

Check:

http://knowledge.insead.edu/economics-finance/thinking-in-scenarios-improves-forecasts-5161

Povl Tiedemann
January 2017

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s


%d bloggers like this: